Price Action and Pattern
Price action and patterns are fundamental concepts in technical analysis that traders use to analyze market movements and make trading decisions. Here’s how they apply to various methodologies like Harmonic Patterns, Chart Patterns, Elliott Wave Theory, and Support and Resistance:
Price Action:
- Definition: Price action refers to the movement of a security’s price over time, as depicted on a chart. It reflects the collective behavior of market participants, including buyers and sellers, and encompasses all factors influencing price, such as supply and demand dynamics, market sentiment, and fundamental news.
- Application: Traders analyze price action to identify trends, reversals, and significant price levels.
Price action analysis involves studying candlestick patterns, chart patterns, and trendlines to gauge market sentiment and make trading decisions. By understanding price action, traders can anticipate potential support and resistance levels, breakout and reversal patterns, and market trends.
Harmonic Patterns:
- Definition: Harmonic patterns are specific price formations that adhere to Fibonacci ratios and geometric patterns. They include patterns such as the Gartley, Butterfly, Bat, and Crab patterns.
- Application:Traders use harmonic patterns to identify potential reversal or continuation points in the market.
Harmonic patterns help traders anticipate turning points based on the convergence of Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. By recognizing harmonic patterns, traders can enter trades with defined risk and reward parameters and manage their positions accordingly.
Chart Patterns:
- Definition: Chart patterns are visual representations of price movements on a trading chart. They include patterns such as head and shoulders, triangles, flags, and pennants.
- Application:Traders use chart patterns to identify potential breakout or reversal points in the market.
Chart patterns provide visual cues about market sentiment and price dynamics, helping traders anticipate future price movements. By recognizing chart patterns, traders can establish entry and exit points, set stop-loss orders, and manage their trades effectively.
Elliott Wave Theory:
- Definition: Elliott Wave Theory proposes that market movements unfold in repetitive wave patterns, consisting of impulse waves (trend-following) and corrective waves (counter-trend).
- Application:Traders use Elliott Wave Theory to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements.
Elliott Wave patterns help traders identify potential turning points and anticipate the direction of the next market move. By understanding Elliott Wave patterns, traders can develop trading strategies based on wave counts, Fibonacci ratios, and wave relationships.
Support and Resistance:
- Definition: Support and resistance levels are price levels where buying and selling pressure converge, creating barriers to price movement. Support is a price level where buying interest exceeds selling pressure, while resistance is a price level where selling interest exceeds buying pressure.
- Application:Traders use support and resistance levels to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to set stop-loss and take-profit orders.
Support and resistance levels help traders gauge market sentiment and anticipate potential turning points in the market. By recognizing key support and resistance levels, traders can adjust their trading strategies and manage their risk effectively.
In summary, price action and patterns play a crucial role in technical analysis across various trading methodologies. Whether traders are analyzing harmonic patterns, chart patterns, Elliott Wave Theory, or support and resistance levels, understanding price action and patterns helps them make informed trading decisions and navigate the complexities of the financial markets.
Some More Tips about Price Action and Pattern
For the Price Action and Pattern Analysis, it is important to have good visualization tools to make a good buy and sell decision in Forex and Stock trading. Since we want to find important patterns for our trading, we will need a good size monitor and good visualization software. Of course, you should invest on them as much as you can afford. No single visualization techniques are perfect. They always possess some advantages as well as some disadvantages. Firstly, line chart is the most basic visualization technique for traders. Line is simply drawn by connecting each session’s closing price. For example, 1-hour line chart is simply drawn by connecting the closing price of 1-hour candle. As line chart are produced by connecting two points at the fixed time interval, they can provide a great insight about some regularities in the price series. For this reason, not only traders use the line chart but also many mathematicians use them to visualize the price series data. Line chart is useful when we want to exam some cyclic behaviour like seasonality or any cyclic patterns made up from sine or cosine function. Line chart is also useful when you want to compare multiple price series in one chart. On the other hands, the disadvantage of the line chart is that it does not provide the trading range of each session. In addition, due to the continuously drawn line, it is difficult to see any gap between sessions. In addition, line chart miss some important attributes like highest and lowest prices of each session.
Candlestick chart provides some additional attributes, which line chart misses. Candlestick chart provides three important information. Firstly, the bottom and top of the box represents the opening and closing price of the session. Secondly, each candlestick shows the trading range between high and low for each session. Thirdly, candlestick shows the direction of movement for each session. Candlestick chart is useful to spot the gaps in between sessions. This is very useful property of the candlestick chart since Line chart or any other chart is difficult to spot the gaps. One of the drawbacks of the candlestick chart is that it does not provide the sequence of high and low price but this is the common problem for other visualization techniques too. It is simply because the sequence of high and low price was not collected traditionally by the Financial Institutions. If anyone starts to provide the historical sequence of high and low prices for each session, then this would reveal a lot of information on the psychology of the financial market. All they have to put some simple identifier which price comes first between high and low prices during the session. For example, one can put the letter “h” to highlight that high price comes first before low price. Therefore, storing cost is no more than just a letter for this crucial information. This might be cheap but useful alternative to the expensive tick history data, which often require enormous hard drive space. In addition, the candlestick chart is the basis for the popular Japanese candlestick patterns. Although the Japanese candlestick pattern alone does not provide the perfect trading entry, many traders uses them as the confirming tool for their entry or exit.
OHLC Bar chart is another popular form of visualization techniques. The OHLC bar chart has some improvement over the line chart. It provides all of the same data including open, close, range and direction to the candlestick chart. However, OHLC bar chart is not visually easy to follow like candlestick chart. In addition, spotting the gap between sessions is not easy with the OHLC bar chart. However, many traders still not given up to use OHLC bar chart over the candlestick and line chart. So far, we have introduced the visualization techniques with the fixed time interval. For example, line chart, candlestick chart and the OHLC bar chart uses the information collected in each session. The common time interval for the session is 1 hour, 4 hour, 1 day, 1 week and 1 month. Instead of using the fixed time interval, several techniques do not use the fixed time interval to construct the chart. For example, tick chart record the open, high, low and close prices during the fixed tick arrival intervals. Therefore, all the bars in the Tick chart have the same tick volumes. For example, 100 Tick chart will record the open, high, low and close price during 100 tick arrivals. All the bars in 100 Tick chart will have 100 tick volumes. One can construct line, candlestick chart and OHLC bar chart with Tick chart too. Tick chart will look like normal chart except that every bar has the identical tick volume. In Tick chart, during busy market hours, one candlestick can be formed fast but during slow market hours, one candlestick can be formed slowly. The tick chart is useful to replace the normal candlestick chart with lower timeframe when the candlestick chart produces the poor visual representation of the market with standard time interval. This is not always the case but when there is low interest in the market, this can happen. In this case, instead of using the candlestick chart with 1-minute chart, trader can use 100 tick chart. Because each candle is completed with 100 tick arrivals every time, we naturally have smoother looking chart in comparison to the broken chart. Once traders become familiar with tick chart, they tend to stick with them even for the higher timeframe. For example, you can use 500 tick chart or 1000 tick chart for your trading. Disadvantage of the tick chart is that tick is generally much heavier to store in the hard drive in terms of size. Therefore, not many trading package offer the capability of using tick chart for the time of writing this book. Just for your information, one-year worth of tick data can take up over some serous gigabytes of the space on your hard drives. In addition, Tick chart does not provide volatility information since every bar has identical tick volume. However, if programmatically doable, one can store time duration it takes to form the bar in the place of the tick volume. This would provide different insight, which the fixed time interval chart can’t provide.
Another popular visualization technique, which does not use the fixed time interval, is the Renko chart. The charting principle of the Renko Chart is quite different from the rest. For example, Renko chart is constructed by drawing bricks of fixed height in series. To illustrate the idea, if the price moved up by 5 points from the top of brick, then we will draw one white up brick. Likewise, if the price moved down by 5 points from the bottom of the brick, then we will draw one black down brick. The brick will be drawn either on the top or on the bottom of the other brick always. There are some drawbacks in Renko chart too. Because Renko chart lose all time information from our candlestick chart, you are no longer able to compare your normal candlestick chart to your Renko chart. In addition, unlike the candlestick chart, you have to select the sensible height of brick. Since there are many benefits using Renko chart, some traders are never worried about these disadvantages. Overall, Renko chart provide quite a lot of features which other chart does not provide.
1) Profitable Chart Patterns in Forex and Stock Market (Fibonacci Analysis, Harmonic Pattern, Elliott Wave, and X3 Chart Pattern)
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0B2KZH87K
https://books.google.com/books/about?id=7KrQDwAAQBAJ&
2) Guide to Precision Harmonic Pattern Trading (Mastering Turning Point Strategy for Financial Trading)
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01MRI5LY6
https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/guide-precision-harmonic-pattern-trading/
https://books.google.com/books/about?id=8SbMDwAAQBAJ&
3) Scientific Guide to Price Action and Pattern Trading (Wisdom of Trend, Cycle, and Fractal Wave)
Below is the website link providing powerful Harmonic Pattern and Elliott Wave Pattern Trading tools for Forex and Stock Market.
a) Harmonic Pattern Plus
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b) Harmonic Pattern Scenario planner
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c) X3 Chart Pattern Scanner
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https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/profitable-pattern-scanner/
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